Taiwan's opposition parties control roughly 62 seats in the 113-member Legislative Yuan but lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. An initial motion passed in December 2025, yet the May 19, 2026 legislative vote yielded only 56-50 support and failed outright. With fewer than four weeks remaining until the June 30 resolution deadline and no scheduled elections or shifts in seat distribution, the constitutional threshold remains unreachable. Trader consensus at 98.4% "No" reflects this structural barrier, though abrupt legislative defections or procedural maneuvers could theoretically alter the arithmetic in the final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,340,983 交易量
$1,340,983 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,340,983 交易量
$1,340,983 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties control roughly 62 seats in the 113-member Legislative Yuan but lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. An initial motion passed in December 2025, yet the May 19, 2026 legislative vote yielded only 56-50 support and failed outright. With fewer than four weeks remaining until the June 30 resolution deadline and no scheduled elections or shifts in seat distribution, the constitutional threshold remains unreachable. Trader consensus at 98.4% "No" reflects this structural barrier, though abrupt legislative defections or procedural maneuvers could theoretically alter the arithmetic in the final stretch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
交易量
$1,340,983结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties control roughly 62 seats in the 113-member Legislative Yuan but lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. An initial motion passed in December 2025, yet the May 19, 2026 legislative vote yielded only 56-50 support and failed outright. With fewer than four weeks remaining until the June 30 resolution deadline and no scheduled elections or shifts in seat distribution, the constitutional threshold remains unreachable. Trader consensus at 98.4% "No" reflects this structural barrier, though abrupt legislative defections or procedural maneuvers could theoretically alter the arithmetic in the final stretch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$1,340,983结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties control roughly 62 seats in the 113-member Legislative Yuan but lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. An initial motion passed in December 2025, yet the May 19, 2026 legislative vote yielded only 56-50 support and failed outright. With fewer than four weeks remaining until the June 30 resolution deadline and no scheduled elections or shifts in seat distribution, the constitutional threshold remains unreachable. Trader consensus at 98.4% "No" reflects this structural barrier, though abrupt legislative defections or procedural maneuvers could theoretically alter the arithmetic in the final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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