The trader consensus assigning an 79.5% implied probability to a "No" outcome on Maduro facing conviction on all counts stems from the early procedural posture of his federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody, Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas to the superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses. A judge rejected dismissal arguments in late March, yet no trial date has been set, leaving ample room for plea negotiations, motions practice, partial verdicts, or resolutions short of convictions on every count across multiple defendants. This timeline and case complexity sustain the current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$103,657 交易量
$103,657 交易量
2027-12-31
是
$103,657 交易量
$103,657 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The trader consensus assigning an 79.5% implied probability to a "No" outcome on Maduro facing conviction on all counts stems from the early procedural posture of his federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody, Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas to the superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses. A judge rejected dismissal arguments in late March, yet no trial date has been set, leaving ample room for plea negotiations, motions practice, partial verdicts, or resolutions short of convictions on every count across multiple defendants. This timeline and case complexity sustain the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$103,657结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The trader consensus assigning an 79.5% implied probability to a "No" outcome on Maduro facing conviction on all counts stems from the early procedural posture of his federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody, Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas to the superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses. A judge rejected dismissal arguments in late March, yet no trial date has been set, leaving ample room for plea negotiations, motions practice, partial verdicts, or resolutions short of convictions on every count across multiple defendants. This timeline and case complexity sustain the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$103,657结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The trader consensus assigning an 79.5% implied probability to a "No" outcome on Maduro facing conviction on all counts stems from the early procedural posture of his federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody, Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas to the superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses. A judge rejected dismissal arguments in late March, yet no trial date has been set, leaving ample room for plea negotiations, motions practice, partial verdicts, or resolutions short of convictions on every count across multiple defendants. This timeline and case complexity sustain the current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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