Wesley Bell holds a clear edge as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District primary, with trader consensus assigning him roughly two-thirds probability of winning the August 4 nomination over challenger Cori Bush. Bell benefits from substantial cash reserves exceeding $1.2 million as of early 2026, institutional endorsements including the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and his 2024 primary victory in the same contest. Bush, who launched her rematch bid in October 2025, draws support from progressive groups but trails significantly in fundraising with under $150,000 on hand. A February 2026 poll showed the candidates statistically tied, underscoring that turnout among core Democratic voters and any shifts in outside spending will determine the outcome in this solidly Democratic St. Louis-area seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,458 交易量
$14,458 交易量
2026-08-04
韦斯利·贝尔
67%
科里·布什
32%
$14,458 交易量
$14,458 交易量
2026-08-04
韦斯利·贝尔
$8,144 交易量
67%
科里·布什
$6,315 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Wesley Bell holds a clear edge as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District primary, with trader consensus assigning him roughly two-thirds probability of winning the August 4 nomination over challenger Cori Bush. Bell benefits from substantial cash reserves exceeding $1.2 million as of early 2026, institutional endorsements including the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and his 2024 primary victory in the same contest. Bush, who launched her rematch bid in October 2025, draws support from progressive groups but trails significantly in fundraising with under $150,000 on hand. A February 2026 poll showed the candidates statistically tied, underscoring that turnout among core Democratic voters and any shifts in outside spending will determine the outcome in this solidly Democratic St. Louis-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
交易量
$14,458结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Wesley Bell holds a clear edge as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District primary, with trader consensus assigning him roughly two-thirds probability of winning the August 4 nomination over challenger Cori Bush. Bell benefits from substantial cash reserves exceeding $1.2 million as of early 2026, institutional endorsements including the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and his 2024 primary victory in the same contest. Bush, who launched her rematch bid in October 2025, draws support from progressive groups but trails significantly in fundraising with under $150,000 on hand. A February 2026 poll showed the candidates statistically tied, underscoring that turnout among core Democratic voters and any shifts in outside spending will determine the outcome in this solidly Democratic St. Louis-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,458结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell holds a clear edge as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District primary, with trader consensus assigning him roughly two-thirds probability of winning the August 4 nomination over challenger Cori Bush. Bell benefits from substantial cash reserves exceeding $1.2 million as of early 2026, institutional endorsements including the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and his 2024 primary victory in the same contest. Bush, who launched her rematch bid in October 2025, draws support from progressive groups but trails significantly in fundraising with under $150,000 on hand. A February 2026 poll showed the candidates statistically tied, underscoring that turnout among core Democratic voters and any shifts in outside spending will determine the outcome in this solidly Democratic St. Louis-area seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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