Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a structural edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that favored Donald Trump by eight points in 2024. Her seven-term tenure and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles underpin the 76.5% Republican consensus, despite Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and one early 2025 survey showing her trailing a generic Democrat. Multiple Republican primary challengers have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries, yet Wagner’s fundraising and name recognition remain dominant. Democratic contenders face an uphill path in this reliably Republican-leaning district heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
20%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,148 交易量
77%
民主党
$2,238 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a structural edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that favored Donald Trump by eight points in 2024. Her seven-term tenure and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles underpin the 76.5% Republican consensus, despite Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and one early 2025 survey showing her trailing a generic Democrat. Multiple Republican primary challengers have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries, yet Wagner’s fundraising and name recognition remain dominant. Democratic contenders face an uphill path in this reliably Republican-leaning district heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a structural edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that favored Donald Trump by eight points in 2024. Her seven-term tenure and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles underpin the 76.5% Republican consensus, despite Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and one early 2025 survey showing her trailing a generic Democrat. Multiple Republican primary challengers have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries, yet Wagner’s fundraising and name recognition remain dominant. Democratic contenders face an uphill path in this reliably Republican-leaning district heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a structural edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that favored Donald Trump by eight points in 2024. Her seven-term tenure and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles underpin the 76.5% Republican consensus, despite Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and one early 2025 survey showing her trailing a generic Democrat. Multiple Republican primary challengers have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries, yet Wagner’s fundraising and name recognition remain dominant. Democratic contenders face an uphill path in this reliably Republican-leaning district heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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