Incumbent Republican Jason Smith faces minimal opposition in Missouri's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The rural district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Smith's strong fundraising edge exceeding $4 million and endorsements from party leaders, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins above 50 points in recent cycles. A Democratic upset would require an unforeseen primary challenge to Smith or a dramatic national shift in voter sentiment, though neither appears likely based on current filings and campaign finance data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,479 交易量
$30,479 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$30,479 交易量
$30,479 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$20,263 交易量
94%
民主党
$10,215 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith faces minimal opposition in Missouri's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The rural district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Smith's strong fundraising edge exceeding $4 million and endorsements from party leaders, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins above 50 points in recent cycles. A Democratic upset would require an unforeseen primary challenge to Smith or a dramatic national shift in voter sentiment, though neither appears likely based on current filings and campaign finance data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$30,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith faces minimal opposition in Missouri's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The rural district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Smith's strong fundraising edge exceeding $4 million and endorsements from party leaders, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins above 50 points in recent cycles. A Democratic upset would require an unforeseen primary challenge to Smith or a dramatic national shift in voter sentiment, though neither appears likely based on current filings and campaign finance data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jason Smith faces minimal opposition in Missouri's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The rural district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Smith's strong fundraising edge exceeding $4 million and endorsements from party leaders, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins above 50 points in recent cycles. A Democratic upset would require an unforeseen primary challenge to Smith or a dramatic national shift in voter sentiment, though neither appears likely based on current filings and campaign finance data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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