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icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

$1,720,287 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$1,720,287 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$35,996 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued multiple written statements on regional policy and U.S. military issues since his March 2026 appointment as Supreme Leader following the February 28 strike that killed his father, yet no verified photographs or video have emerged. Official accounts cite injuries from the attack and security considerations for the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict as factors in his seclusion, with a Russian envoy noting in late March that he remains in Iran but is avoiding public events for understandable reasons. A May 7 confirmation by President Masoud Pezeshkian of a lengthy in-person meeting provided the first senior-level acknowledgment of his condition, though it produced no visual record. Trader consensus on limited near-term visibility reflects these institutional signals and the absence of scheduled public ceremonies or diplomatic summits that could prompt an appearance before late June.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$1,720,287
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued multiple written statements on regional policy and U.S. military issues since his March 2026 appointment as Supreme Leader following the February 28 strike that killed his father, yet no verified photographs or video have emerged. Official accounts cite injuries from the attack and security considerations for the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict as factors in his seclusion, with a Russian envoy noting in late March that he remains in Iran but is avoiding public events for understandable reasons. A May 7 confirmation by President Masoud Pezeshkian of a lengthy in-person meeting provided the first senior-level acknowledgment of his condition, though it produced no visual record. Trader consensus on limited near-term visibility reflects these institutional signals and the absence of scheduled public ceremonies or diplomatic summits that could prompt an appearance before late June.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$1,720,287
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"June 30",概率为 10%,其次是"3月13日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 10¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 10%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量(自Mar 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"的当前领先者是"June 30",概率为 10%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 10%。紧随其后的结果是"3月13日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。