Incumbent Republican Steve Daines’s March withdrawal cleared the field and enabled swift consolidation behind endorsed candidate Kurt Alme, who also secured President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Montana’s consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide contests, including the 2024 Senate outcome, underpins trader pricing that places the Republican nominee at 80.5 percent. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, draws 16.2 percent on limited name recognition and some polling support but faces structural headwinds in a state without recent Democratic statewide wins. Democratic primary contenders trail at 1.3 percent amid low viability ratings from forecasters. The November general election timeline and ongoing candidate consolidation continue to shape positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 80%
无党派人士 16.1%
民主党 1.3%
$76,811 交易量
$76,811 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
无党派人士
16%
民主党
1%
共和党 80%
无党派人士 16.1%
民主党 1.3%
$76,811 交易量
$76,811 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$38,529 交易量
80%
无党派人士
$2,108 交易量
16%
民主党
$36,174 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Steve Daines’s March withdrawal cleared the field and enabled swift consolidation behind endorsed candidate Kurt Alme, who also secured President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Montana’s consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide contests, including the 2024 Senate outcome, underpins trader pricing that places the Republican nominee at 80.5 percent. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, draws 16.2 percent on limited name recognition and some polling support but faces structural headwinds in a state without recent Democratic statewide wins. Democratic primary contenders trail at 1.3 percent amid low viability ratings from forecasters. The November general election timeline and ongoing candidate consolidation continue to shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$76,811结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Steve Daines’s March withdrawal cleared the field and enabled swift consolidation behind endorsed candidate Kurt Alme, who also secured President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Montana’s consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide contests, including the 2024 Senate outcome, underpins trader pricing that places the Republican nominee at 80.5 percent. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, draws 16.2 percent on limited name recognition and some polling support but faces structural headwinds in a state without recent Democratic statewide wins. Democratic primary contenders trail at 1.3 percent amid low viability ratings from forecasters. The November general election timeline and ongoing candidate consolidation continue to shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$76,811结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Daines’s March withdrawal cleared the field and enabled swift consolidation behind endorsed candidate Kurt Alme, who also secured President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Montana’s consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide contests, including the 2024 Senate outcome, underpins trader pricing that places the Republican nominee at 80.5 percent. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, draws 16.2 percent on limited name recognition and some polling support but faces structural headwinds in a state without recent Democratic statewide wins. Democratic primary contenders trail at 1.3 percent amid low viability ratings from forecasters. The November general election timeline and ongoing candidate consolidation continue to shape positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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