Republican Steve Daines's March withdrawal and endorsement of Kurt Alme created an open seat that consolidated early Republican support in a state with consistent GOP advantages in recent Senate cycles. Alme gained backing from President Trump and leads May polling against independent Seth Bodnar and Democratic primary contenders. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic viability and low combined cash on hand among the five candidates in the June 2 primary. Bodnar's independent bid registers measurable but secondary support in surveys, tempered by low name recognition. The November general election timeline and candidate consolidation ahead of primaries sustain trader consensus around these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 81%
无党派人士 16.1%
民主党 1.4%
$76,811 交易量
$76,811 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
无党派人士
16%
民主党
1%
共和党 81%
无党派人士 16.1%
民主党 1.4%
$76,811 交易量
$76,811 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$38,529 交易量
81%
无党派人士
$2,108 交易量
16%
民主党
$36,174 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Steve Daines's March withdrawal and endorsement of Kurt Alme created an open seat that consolidated early Republican support in a state with consistent GOP advantages in recent Senate cycles. Alme gained backing from President Trump and leads May polling against independent Seth Bodnar and Democratic primary contenders. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic viability and low combined cash on hand among the five candidates in the June 2 primary. Bodnar's independent bid registers measurable but secondary support in surveys, tempered by low name recognition. The November general election timeline and candidate consolidation ahead of primaries sustain trader consensus around these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$76,811结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Steve Daines's March withdrawal and endorsement of Kurt Alme created an open seat that consolidated early Republican support in a state with consistent GOP advantages in recent Senate cycles. Alme gained backing from President Trump and leads May polling against independent Seth Bodnar and Democratic primary contenders. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic viability and low combined cash on hand among the five candidates in the June 2 primary. Bodnar's independent bid registers measurable but secondary support in surveys, tempered by low name recognition. The November general election timeline and candidate consolidation ahead of primaries sustain trader consensus around these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$76,811结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Steve Daines's March withdrawal and endorsement of Kurt Alme created an open seat that consolidated early Republican support in a state with consistent GOP advantages in recent Senate cycles. Alme gained backing from President Trump and leads May polling against independent Seth Bodnar and Democratic primary contenders. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic viability and low combined cash on hand among the five candidates in the June 2 primary. Bodnar's independent bid registers measurable but secondary support in surveys, tempered by low name recognition. The November general election timeline and candidate consolidation ahead of primaries sustain trader consensus around these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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