Nawaf Salam has led Lebanon's government since February 2025, advancing sovereignty measures and direct negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions with Israel and Hezbollah restrictions. Recent actions, including cabinet decisions to file UN complaints over strikes, orders banning Hezbollah military activity and IRGC presence, and public calls for ceasefires while prioritizing Lebanese stability, show sustained institutional backing without coalition fractures or resignation signals through mid-2026. Parliamentary nomination margins and the absence of procedural challenges or snap election triggers reinforce trader consensus that early removal before December 31 remains unlikely, though escalation in southern operations or unity breakdowns could still alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has led Lebanon's government since February 2025, advancing sovereignty measures and direct negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions with Israel and Hezbollah restrictions. Recent actions, including cabinet decisions to file UN complaints over strikes, orders banning Hezbollah military activity and IRGC presence, and public calls for ceasefires while prioritizing Lebanese stability, show sustained institutional backing without coalition fractures or resignation signals through mid-2026. Parliamentary nomination margins and the absence of procedural challenges or snap election triggers reinforce trader consensus that early removal before December 31 remains unlikely, though escalation in southern operations or unity breakdowns could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
交易量
$646结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has led Lebanon's government since February 2025, advancing sovereignty measures and direct negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions with Israel and Hezbollah restrictions. Recent actions, including cabinet decisions to file UN complaints over strikes, orders banning Hezbollah military activity and IRGC presence, and public calls for ceasefires while prioritizing Lebanese stability, show sustained institutional backing without coalition fractures or resignation signals through mid-2026. Parliamentary nomination margins and the absence of procedural challenges or snap election triggers reinforce trader consensus that early removal before December 31 remains unlikely, though escalation in southern operations or unity breakdowns could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$646结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam has led Lebanon's government since February 2025, advancing sovereignty measures and direct negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions with Israel and Hezbollah restrictions. Recent actions, including cabinet decisions to file UN complaints over strikes, orders banning Hezbollah military activity and IRGC presence, and public calls for ceasefires while prioritizing Lebanese stability, show sustained institutional backing without coalition fractures or resignation signals through mid-2026. Parliamentary nomination margins and the absence of procedural challenges or snap election triggers reinforce trader consensus that early removal before December 31 remains unlikely, though escalation in southern operations or unity breakdowns could still alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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