Following Labour's poor results in the May 2026 local elections, mounting internal pressure has targeted Prime Minister Keir Starmer, including public calls from dozens of MPs for his resignation or a fixed departure timetable and several cabinet resignations. This has positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the frontrunner for any near-term leadership transition, driven by his sustained popularity and reported plans to contest a June by-election for a parliamentary seat. Traders assign him the clearest lead among potential successors, while the sizable share for no change in 2026 reflects uncertainty over whether Starmer can withstand challenges without triggering formal rules. Other figures such as Angela Rayner trail amid divided party dynamics and procedural hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·伯纳姆 63.4%
2026年没有下任首相 22%
安吉拉·雷纳 7%
埃德·米利班德 3.6%
$9,034,047 交易量
$9,034,047 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
63%
2026年没有下任首相
22%
安吉拉·雷纳
7%
埃德·米利班德
4%
韦斯·斯特里廷
1%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
Al Carns
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
安迪·伯纳姆 63.4%
2026年没有下任首相 22%
安吉拉·雷纳 7%
埃德·米利班德 3.6%
$9,034,047 交易量
$9,034,047 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
63%
2026年没有下任首相
22%
安吉拉·雷纳
7%
埃德·米利班德
4%
韦斯·斯特里廷
1%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
Al Carns
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Labour's poor results in the May 2026 local elections, mounting internal pressure has targeted Prime Minister Keir Starmer, including public calls from dozens of MPs for his resignation or a fixed departure timetable and several cabinet resignations. This has positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the frontrunner for any near-term leadership transition, driven by his sustained popularity and reported plans to contest a June by-election for a parliamentary seat. Traders assign him the clearest lead among potential successors, while the sizable share for no change in 2026 reflects uncertainty over whether Starmer can withstand challenges without triggering formal rules. Other figures such as Angela Rayner trail amid divided party dynamics and procedural hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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