New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning 59 percent in 2024 and benefits from established fundraising, party endorsements, and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party is heavily favored. The June 2 Democratic primary, featuring Menendez against challenger Mussab Ali, is not expected to alter the general-election outlook. A national political shift, significant scandal involving the nominee, or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,742 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,007 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning 59 percent in 2024 and benefits from established fundraising, party endorsements, and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party is heavily favored. The June 2 Democratic primary, featuring Menendez against challenger Mussab Ali, is not expected to alter the general-election outlook. A national political shift, significant scandal involving the nominee, or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$9,649结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning 59 percent in 2024 and benefits from established fundraising, party endorsements, and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party is heavily favored. The June 2 Democratic primary, featuring Menendez against challenger Mussab Ali, is not expected to alter the general-election outlook. A national political shift, significant scandal involving the nominee, or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,649结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning 59 percent in 2024 and benefits from established fundraising, party endorsements, and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party is heavily favored. The June 2 Democratic primary, featuring Menendez against challenger Mussab Ali, is not expected to alter the general-election outlook. A national political shift, significant scandal involving the nominee, or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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