Roy Cooper maintains an 85.5% implied probability in the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate race primarily because recent polls, including a May Carolina Journal survey, show him leading Republican nominee Michael Whatley by double digits among likely voters amid the open seat created by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis. Cooper benefits from strong statewide name recognition as a former governor with a proven electoral record, substantial fundraising advantages, and favorable ratings, while Whatley, who secured the GOP nomination after Donald Trump’s endorsement, faces limited voter familiarity and weaker favorability metrics. No major developments in the past month have shifted these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$63,088 交易量
$63,088 交易量
2026-11-03
罗伊·库珀（民主党）
86%
迈克尔·沃特利（共和党）
16%
$63,088 交易量
$63,088 交易量
2026-11-03
罗伊·库珀（民主党）
$26,053 交易量
86%
迈克尔·沃特利（共和党）
$37,035 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains an 85.5% implied probability in the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate race primarily because recent polls, including a May Carolina Journal survey, show him leading Republican nominee Michael Whatley by double digits among likely voters amid the open seat created by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis. Cooper benefits from strong statewide name recognition as a former governor with a proven electoral record, substantial fundraising advantages, and favorable ratings, while Whatley, who secured the GOP nomination after Donald Trump’s endorsement, faces limited voter familiarity and weaker favorability metrics. No major developments in the past month have shifted these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$63,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains an 85.5% implied probability in the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate race primarily because recent polls, including a May Carolina Journal survey, show him leading Republican nominee Michael Whatley by double digits among likely voters amid the open seat created by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis. Cooper benefits from strong statewide name recognition as a former governor with a proven electoral record, substantial fundraising advantages, and favorable ratings, while Whatley, who secured the GOP nomination after Donald Trump’s endorsement, faces limited voter familiarity and weaker favorability metrics. No major developments in the past month have shifted these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$63,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper maintains an 85.5% implied probability in the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate race primarily because recent polls, including a May Carolina Journal survey, show him leading Republican nominee Michael Whatley by double digits among likely voters amid the open seat created by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis. Cooper benefits from strong statewide name recognition as a former governor with a proven electoral record, substantial fundraising advantages, and favorable ratings, while Whatley, who secured the GOP nomination after Donald Trump’s endorsement, faces limited voter familiarity and weaker favorability metrics. No major developments in the past month have shifted these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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