The Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District on June 23 features a contest between Assembly Member Claire Valdez and Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez. Trader consensus assigns Valdez a clear lead at 72.5 percent, reflecting her endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and organizational backing from the New York City chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America, which have driven momentum in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts. Reynoso, priced at 24 percent, holds Velázquez’s endorsement, broad labor union support, and a record as borough president, yet trails in early fundraising and a late-May Emerson poll showing Valdez narrowly ahead among likely voters amid 43 percent undecided. Other candidates remain negligible in both polling and market pricing.