The Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting an even split between longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat and DSA-backed challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Espaillat’s established organizational support and role chairing the Congressional Hispanic Caucus have sustained his position, yet internal polling has shown soft support among likely primary voters. Chevalier’s campaign has gained momentum through strong fundraising relative to other challengers, endorsements from the local DSA chapter and Justice Democrats, and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s recent public backing, which has intensified the progressive challenge in Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx. Minor candidates trail far behind. Further campaign events, additional high-profile endorsements, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特 51%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 51%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗 <1%
贾利尔·阿马多 <1%
$28,884 交易量
$28,884 交易量
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特
51%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
51%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗
<1%
贾利尔·阿马多
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
马特·米勒
<1%
梅根·罗德里格斯
<1%
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特 51%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 51%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗 <1%
贾利尔·阿马多 <1%
$28,884 交易量
$28,884 交易量
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特
51%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
51%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗
<1%
贾利尔·阿马多
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
马特·米勒
<1%
梅根·罗德里格斯
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting an even split between longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat and DSA-backed challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Espaillat’s established organizational support and role chairing the Congressional Hispanic Caucus have sustained his position, yet internal polling has shown soft support among likely primary voters. Chevalier’s campaign has gained momentum through strong fundraising relative to other challengers, endorsements from the local DSA chapter and Justice Democrats, and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s recent public backing, which has intensified the progressive challenge in Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx. Minor candidates trail far behind. Further campaign events, additional high-profile endorsements, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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