Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with minimal contest. These results, combined with the district's urban and suburban voter base in east Portland and surrounding areas, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in November. Factors that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show few such reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$748 交易量
94%
共和党
$586 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with minimal contest. These results, combined with the district's urban and suburban voter base in east Portland and surrounding areas, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in November. Factors that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show few such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$1,334结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with minimal contest. These results, combined with the district's urban and suburban voter base in east Portland and surrounding areas, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in November. Factors that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show few such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,334结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with minimal contest. These results, combined with the district's urban and suburban voter base in east Portland and surrounding areas, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in November. Factors that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show few such reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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