Janelle Stelson secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district in the May 19 primary with a decisive 75%–25% win over Justin Douglas, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry. Recent polling shows Stelson leading Perry by margins of three to six points in a district rated toss-up by forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and R+3 partisan lean. Trader consensus on the Democratic Party at 69.5% versus 33.5% for Republicans aligns with these indicators, including early endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and Democratic fundraising efforts targeting the seat. The November 3 general election outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
72%
共和党
56%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$129 交易量
72%
共和党
$420 交易量
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Janelle Stelson secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district in the May 19 primary with a decisive 75%–25% win over Justin Douglas, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry. Recent polling shows Stelson leading Perry by margins of three to six points in a district rated toss-up by forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and R+3 partisan lean. Trader consensus on the Democratic Party at 69.5% versus 33.5% for Republicans aligns with these indicators, including early endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and Democratic fundraising efforts targeting the seat. The November 3 general election outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$549结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Janelle Stelson secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district in the May 19 primary with a decisive 75%–25% win over Justin Douglas, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry. Recent polling shows Stelson leading Perry by margins of three to six points in a district rated toss-up by forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and R+3 partisan lean. Trader consensus on the Democratic Party at 69.5% versus 33.5% for Republicans aligns with these indicators, including early endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and Democratic fundraising efforts targeting the seat. The November 3 general election outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$549结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Janelle Stelson secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district in the May 19 primary with a decisive 75%–25% win over Justin Douglas, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry. Recent polling shows Stelson leading Perry by margins of three to six points in a district rated toss-up by forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and R+3 partisan lean. Trader consensus on the Democratic Party at 69.5% versus 33.5% for Republicans aligns with these indicators, including early endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and Democratic fundraising efforts targeting the seat. The November 3 general election outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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