Incumbent Summer Lee secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the party as a heavy favorite in the November general election. The district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Lee’s 2024 win, reflecting its concentration of Democratic voters in the Pittsburgh area. Republican nominee James Hayes faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,150 交易量
$12,150 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$12,150 交易量
$12,150 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,534 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,617 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the party as a heavy favorite in the November general election. The district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Lee’s 2024 win, reflecting its concentration of Democratic voters in the Pittsburgh area. Republican nominee James Hayes faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,150结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the party as a heavy favorite in the November general election. The district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Lee’s 2024 win, reflecting its concentration of Democratic voters in the Pittsburgh area. Republican nominee James Hayes faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,150结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Summer Lee secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the party as a heavy favorite in the November general election. The district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Lee’s 2024 win, reflecting its concentration of Democratic voters in the Pittsburgh area. Republican nominee James Hayes faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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