Recent polling from Ipsos and Datum shows Keiko Fujimori holding a narrow 3–4 point lead over Roberto Sánchez ahead of the June 7 runoff, with both candidates in the mid-to-high 30s and roughly 27% of voters undecided or planning blank or null ballots. This positioning reflects first-round fragmentation that left Fujimori at around 17% and Sánchez narrowly ahead of other contenders at 12%, combined with persistent regional divides where Sánchez draws stronger support in southern and Andean areas. High undecided shares and an upcoming debate keep the race tight, leading traders to assign the highest probabilities to Fujimori prevailing by slim margins under 8%. Structural factors such as Fujimori’s repeated runoff appearances and lingering anti-Fujimorista sentiment further support expectations of a competitive outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Fujimori 0–4% 44%
Fujimori 4–8% 24%
Sánchez 0–4% 23%
Fujimori 8–12% 7.4%
$107,784 交易量
$107,784 交易量
2026-06-07
Fujimori 12%+
3%
Fujimori 8–12%
7%
Fujimori 4–8%
24%
Fujimori 0–4%
44%
Sánchez 0–4%
23%
Sánchez 4–8%
2%
Sánchez 8–12%
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 44%
Fujimori 4–8% 24%
Sánchez 0–4% 23%
Fujimori 8–12% 7.4%
$107,784 交易量
$107,784 交易量
2026-06-07
Fujimori 12%+
$12,889 交易量
3%
Fujimori 8–12%
$10,393 交易量
7%
Fujimori 4–8%
$13,538 交易量
24%
Fujimori 0–4%
$21,103 交易量
44%
Sánchez 0–4%
$23,432 交易量
23%
Sánchez 4–8%
$9,654 交易量
2%
Sánchez 8–12%
$9,675 交易量
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
$7,184 交易量
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling from Ipsos and Datum shows Keiko Fujimori holding a narrow 3–4 point lead over Roberto Sánchez ahead of the June 7 runoff, with both candidates in the mid-to-high 30s and roughly 27% of voters undecided or planning blank or null ballots. This positioning reflects first-round fragmentation that left Fujimori at around 17% and Sánchez narrowly ahead of other contenders at 12%, combined with persistent regional divides where Sánchez draws stronger support in southern and Andean areas. High undecided shares and an upcoming debate keep the race tight, leading traders to assign the highest probabilities to Fujimori prevailing by slim margins under 8%. Structural factors such as Fujimori’s repeated runoff appearances and lingering anti-Fujimorista sentiment further support expectations of a competitive outcome.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$107,784结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling from Ipsos and Datum shows Keiko Fujimori holding a narrow 3–4 point lead over Roberto Sánchez ahead of the June 7 runoff, with both candidates in the mid-to-high 30s and roughly 27% of voters undecided or planning blank or null ballots. This positioning reflects first-round fragmentation that left Fujimori at around 17% and Sánchez narrowly ahead of other contenders at 12%, combined with persistent regional divides where Sánchez draws stronger support in southern and Andean areas. High undecided shares and an upcoming debate keep the race tight, leading traders to assign the highest probabilities to Fujimori prevailing by slim margins under 8%. Structural factors such as Fujimori’s repeated runoff appearances and lingering anti-Fujimorista sentiment further support expectations of a competitive outcome.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$107,784结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Ipsos and Datum shows Keiko Fujimori holding a narrow 3–4 point lead over Roberto Sánchez ahead of the June 7 runoff, with both candidates in the mid-to-high 30s and roughly 27% of voters undecided or planning blank or null ballots. This positioning reflects first-round fragmentation that left Fujimori at around 17% and Sánchez narrowly ahead of other contenders at 12%, combined with persistent regional divides where Sánchez draws stronger support in southern and Andean areas. High undecided shares and an upcoming debate keep the race tight, leading traders to assign the highest probabilities to Fujimori prevailing by slim margins under 8%. Structural factors such as Fujimori’s repeated runoff appearances and lingering anti-Fujimorista sentiment further support expectations of a competitive outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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