Traders see 70-80% turnout as most probable for Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff because the first-round figure reached 73.81% amid logistical strains and a fragmented field. The tight contest between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has spurred both campaigns to intensify voter mobilization in battleground regions, supporting expectations near historical second-round averages. A decisive late endorsement, major campaign event, or weather disruption could shift participation either way, while any renewed administrative delays similar to those in April would likely cap the total. The narrow polling gap keeps both sides focused on turnout operations rather than broad persuasion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?
70–75% 47%
75–80% 46%
<70% 7.2%
80–85% 1.4%
$30,065 交易量
$30,065 交易量
<70%
7%
70–75%
47%
75–80%
46%
80–85%
1%
>85%
1%
70–75% 47%
75–80% 46%
<70% 7.2%
80–85% 1.4%
$30,065 交易量
$30,065 交易量
<70%
7%
70–75%
47%
75–80%
46%
80–85%
1%
>85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 70-80% turnout as most probable for Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff because the first-round figure reached 73.81% amid logistical strains and a fragmented field. The tight contest between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has spurred both campaigns to intensify voter mobilization in battleground regions, supporting expectations near historical second-round averages. A decisive late endorsement, major campaign event, or weather disruption could shift participation either way, while any renewed administrative delays similar to those in April would likely cap the total. The narrow polling gap keeps both sides focused on turnout operations rather than broad persuasion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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