Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma election have shaped trader consensus on third place. LDPR maintains an edge through established nationalist appeal, regional structures, and consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, positioning it ahead of rivals for the slot behind United Russia. New People has climbed in certain VCIOM readings to challenge for second or third, buoyed by its relative youth and targeted outreach, though other polls place it lower. KPRF trails closely but shows some erosion in recent data compared with its traditional second- or third-place finishes. A Just Russia and smaller parties remain well behind due to weaker current ratings and limited momentum in the pre-election period. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing organizational strength, poll volatility, and historical patterns without assuming fixed outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 25%
New People (NL) 25%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia (ER)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
25%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
13%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
44%
New People (NL)
33%
Rodina
3%
Civic Platform (GP)
5%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 25%
New People (NL) 25%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia (ER)
$79 交易量
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$137 交易量
25%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$93 交易量
13%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$296 交易量
44%
New People (NL)
$93 交易量
33%
Rodina
$695 交易量
3%
Civic Platform (GP)
$319 交易量
5%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma election have shaped trader consensus on third place. LDPR maintains an edge through established nationalist appeal, regional structures, and consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, positioning it ahead of rivals for the slot behind United Russia. New People has climbed in certain VCIOM readings to challenge for second or third, buoyed by its relative youth and targeted outreach, though other polls place it lower. KPRF trails closely but shows some erosion in recent data compared with its traditional second- or third-place finishes. A Just Russia and smaller parties remain well behind due to weaker current ratings and limited momentum in the pre-election period. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing organizational strength, poll volatility, and historical patterns without assuming fixed outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
交易量
$1,713结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma election have shaped trader consensus on third place. LDPR maintains an edge through established nationalist appeal, regional structures, and consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, positioning it ahead of rivals for the slot behind United Russia. New People has climbed in certain VCIOM readings to challenge for second or third, buoyed by its relative youth and targeted outreach, though other polls place it lower. KPRF trails closely but shows some erosion in recent data compared with its traditional second- or third-place finishes. A Just Russia and smaller parties remain well behind due to weaker current ratings and limited momentum in the pre-election period. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing organizational strength, poll volatility, and historical patterns without assuming fixed outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$1,713结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma election have shaped trader consensus on third place. LDPR maintains an edge through established nationalist appeal, regional structures, and consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, positioning it ahead of rivals for the slot behind United Russia. New People has climbed in certain VCIOM readings to challenge for second or third, buoyed by its relative youth and targeted outreach, though other polls place it lower. KPRF trails closely but shows some erosion in recent data compared with its traditional second- or third-place finishes. A Just Russia and smaller parties remain well behind due to weaker current ratings and limited momentum in the pre-election period. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing organizational strength, poll volatility, and historical patterns without assuming fixed outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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