Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party near 18 percent. This stable ordering across multiple surveys positions the Moderates as the frontrunner to finish third. The Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability for that spot, reflecting the narrow but consistent gap between second and third in current trends. Smaller parties trail further behind with limited movement in recent months. Traders appear to weigh these polling averages and historical patterns of limited late shifts when assessing third-place outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Moderate Party (M) 53%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 38%
Liberals (L) 4.2%
Left Party (V) 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
38%
Moderate Party (M)
54%
Centre Party (C)
2%
Left Party (V)
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
2%
Green Party (MP)
7%
Liberals (L)
7%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
7%
Moderate Party (M) 53%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 38%
Liberals (L) 4.2%
Left Party (V) 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$216 交易量
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$463 交易量
38%
Moderate Party (M)
$338 交易量
54%
Centre Party (C)
$524 交易量
2%
Left Party (V)
$491 交易量
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$547 交易量
2%
Green Party (MP)
$467 交易量
7%
Liberals (L)
$434 交易量
7%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$612 交易量
7%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party near 18 percent. This stable ordering across multiple surveys positions the Moderates as the frontrunner to finish third. The Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability for that spot, reflecting the narrow but consistent gap between second and third in current trends. Smaller parties trail further behind with limited movement in recent months. Traders appear to weigh these polling averages and historical patterns of limited late shifts when assessing third-place outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$4,091结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party near 18 percent. This stable ordering across multiple surveys positions the Moderates as the frontrunner to finish third. The Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability for that spot, reflecting the narrow but consistent gap between second and third in current trends. Smaller parties trail further behind with limited movement in recent months. Traders appear to weigh these polling averages and historical patterns of limited late shifts when assessing third-place outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$4,091结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party near 18 percent. This stable ordering across multiple surveys positions the Moderates as the frontrunner to finish third. The Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability for that spot, reflecting the narrow but consistent gap between second and third in current trends. Smaller parties trail further behind with limited movement in recent months. Traders appear to weigh these polling averages and historical patterns of limited late shifts when assessing third-place outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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