Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first with roughly 32 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderates around 18 percent, establishing a stable ordering that positions the Moderates as the strongest contender for third place ahead of the September 13 election. The incumbent Tidö coalition, comprising the Moderates and supported by the Sweden Democrats, continues to trail the opposition Red-Greens bloc without notable shifts in May surveys from firms including Novus, Ipsos, and Demoskop. Traders' consensus reflects these consistent trends and the absence of major campaign events or scandals that could alter bloc dynamics before September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Moderate Party (M) 53%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 39%
Liberals (L) 5.0%
Green Party (MP) 4.5%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
39%

Moderate Party (M)
54%

Centre Party (C)
3%

Left Party (V)
3%

Christian Democrats (KD)
2%

Green Party (MP)
4%

Liberals (L)
5%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
19%
Moderate Party (M) 53%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 39%
Liberals (L) 5.0%
Green Party (MP) 4.5%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
39%

Moderate Party (M)
54%

Centre Party (C)
3%

Left Party (V)
3%

Christian Democrats (KD)
2%

Green Party (MP)
4%

Liberals (L)
5%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
19%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first with roughly 32 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderates around 18 percent, establishing a stable ordering that positions the Moderates as the strongest contender for third place ahead of the September 13 election. The incumbent Tidö coalition, comprising the Moderates and supported by the Sweden Democrats, continues to trail the opposition Red-Greens bloc without notable shifts in May surveys from firms including Novus, Ipsos, and Demoskop. Traders' consensus reflects these consistent trends and the absence of major campaign events or scandals that could alter bloc dynamics before September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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