Ken Paxton's decisive May 26 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among the party's base and anchored trader consensus at 60.5% for the November general election. Texas's long-standing Republican tilt and structural advantages in turnout reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. James Talarico's Democratic nomination and rapid fundraising—more than $3 million in the first day after the runoff—position him as a competitive challenger at 39.5%, though his attacks on Paxton's record of scandals and the race's shift to cultural contrasts have yet to overcome the state's partisan fundamentals. Recent exchanges, including Paxton's framing of Talarico as out of step with Texas voters, highlight the contest's evolving dynamics without altering the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$433,947 交易量
$433,947 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
61%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
40%
$433,947 交易量
$433,947 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$255,656 交易量
61%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$178,290 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive May 26 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among the party's base and anchored trader consensus at 60.5% for the November general election. Texas's long-standing Republican tilt and structural advantages in turnout reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. James Talarico's Democratic nomination and rapid fundraising—more than $3 million in the first day after the runoff—position him as a competitive challenger at 39.5%, though his attacks on Paxton's record of scandals and the race's shift to cultural contrasts have yet to overcome the state's partisan fundamentals. Recent exchanges, including Paxton's framing of Talarico as out of step with Texas voters, highlight the contest's evolving dynamics without altering the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$433,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive May 26 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among the party's base and anchored trader consensus at 60.5% for the November general election. Texas's long-standing Republican tilt and structural advantages in turnout reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. James Talarico's Democratic nomination and rapid fundraising—more than $3 million in the first day after the runoff—position him as a competitive challenger at 39.5%, though his attacks on Paxton's record of scandals and the race's shift to cultural contrasts have yet to overcome the state's partisan fundamentals. Recent exchanges, including Paxton's framing of Talarico as out of step with Texas voters, highlight the contest's evolving dynamics without altering the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$433,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton's decisive May 26 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among the party's base and anchored trader consensus at 60.5% for the November general election. Texas's long-standing Republican tilt and structural advantages in turnout reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. James Talarico's Democratic nomination and rapid fundraising—more than $3 million in the first day after the runoff—position him as a competitive challenger at 39.5%, though his attacks on Paxton's record of scandals and the race's shift to cultural contrasts have yet to overcome the state's partisan fundamentals. Recent exchanges, including Paxton's framing of Talarico as out of step with Texas voters, highlight the contest's evolving dynamics without altering the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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