Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump that consolidated support among the party base. This outcome, in a state Republicans have held for decades, anchors trader consensus around Paxton's 60.5% implied probability. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee following his primary win, has countered Paxton's attacks on his cultural positions and policy stances with criticism of the attorney general's record. Recent polling shows a tight general-election matchup, yet the state's partisan lean and turnout patterns sustain the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$433,947 交易量
$433,947 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
61%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
40%
$433,947 交易量
$433,947 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$255,656 交易量
61%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$178,290 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump that consolidated support among the party base. This outcome, in a state Republicans have held for decades, anchors trader consensus around Paxton's 60.5% implied probability. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee following his primary win, has countered Paxton's attacks on his cultural positions and policy stances with criticism of the attorney general's record. Recent polling shows a tight general-election matchup, yet the state's partisan lean and turnout patterns sustain the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$433,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump that consolidated support among the party base. This outcome, in a state Republicans have held for decades, anchors trader consensus around Paxton's 60.5% implied probability. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee following his primary win, has countered Paxton's attacks on his cultural positions and policy stances with criticism of the attorney general's record. Recent polling shows a tight general-election matchup, yet the state's partisan lean and turnout patterns sustain the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$433,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump that consolidated support among the party base. This outcome, in a state Republicans have held for decades, anchors trader consensus around Paxton's 60.5% implied probability. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee following his primary win, has countered Paxton's attacks on his cultural positions and policy stances with criticism of the attorney general's record. Recent polling shows a tight general-election matchup, yet the state's partisan lean and turnout patterns sustain the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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