Border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes over areas near ancient temples such as Preah Vihear and Ta Muen Thom, rooted in colonial-era demarcations. Clashes erupted in May 2025 and intensified in July with exchanges of fire, rocket barrages, and Thai airstrikes on Cambodian positions, followed by a brief ceasefire. Fighting resumed in December 2025, prompting additional Thai air operations before a second ceasefire agreement on December 27. That accord, facilitated through ASEAN channels and U.S. involvement, has held with only sporadic incidents through May 2026 amid mutual accusations over landmines and troop movements. Ongoing mistrust, demands for apologies, and border management issues continue to shape assessments of escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$114,170 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
4%
$114,170 交易量
2026年6月30日
$69,758 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes over areas near ancient temples such as Preah Vihear and Ta Muen Thom, rooted in colonial-era demarcations. Clashes erupted in May 2025 and intensified in July with exchanges of fire, rocket barrages, and Thai airstrikes on Cambodian positions, followed by a brief ceasefire. Fighting resumed in December 2025, prompting additional Thai air operations before a second ceasefire agreement on December 27. That accord, facilitated through ASEAN channels and U.S. involvement, has held with only sporadic incidents through May 2026 amid mutual accusations over landmines and troop movements. Ongoing mistrust, demands for apologies, and border management issues continue to shape assessments of escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$114,170结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes over areas near ancient temples such as Preah Vihear and Ta Muen Thom, rooted in colonial-era demarcations. Clashes erupted in May 2025 and intensified in July with exchanges of fire, rocket barrages, and Thai airstrikes on Cambodian positions, followed by a brief ceasefire. Fighting resumed in December 2025, prompting additional Thai air operations before a second ceasefire agreement on December 27. That accord, facilitated through ASEAN channels and U.S. involvement, has held with only sporadic incidents through May 2026 amid mutual accusations over landmines and troop movements. Ongoing mistrust, demands for apologies, and border management issues continue to shape assessments of escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
交易量
$114,170结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes over areas near ancient temples such as Preah Vihear and Ta Muen Thom, rooted in colonial-era demarcations. Clashes erupted in May 2025 and intensified in July with exchanges of fire, rocket barrages, and Thai airstrikes on Cambodian positions, followed by a brief ceasefire. Fighting resumed in December 2025, prompting additional Thai air operations before a second ceasefire agreement on December 27. That accord, facilitated through ASEAN channels and U.S. involvement, has held with only sporadic incidents through May 2026 amid mutual accusations over landmines and troop movements. Ongoing mistrust, demands for apologies, and border management issues continue to shape assessments of escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题