The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with August Pfluger's incumbency and unopposed path through the March 2026 Republican primary, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 93 percent. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins limit Democratic prospects, as Claire Reynolds emerged from a low-profile March primary to face Pfluger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Limited fundraising and organizational activity on the Democratic side reinforce the current positioning. A national political realignment, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this solidly conservative area could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require developments outside the district's established electoral patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,919 交易量
$24,919 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$24,919 交易量
$24,919 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,676 交易量
94%
民主党
$18,243 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with August Pfluger's incumbency and unopposed path through the March 2026 Republican primary, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 93 percent. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins limit Democratic prospects, as Claire Reynolds emerged from a low-profile March primary to face Pfluger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Limited fundraising and organizational activity on the Democratic side reinforce the current positioning. A national political realignment, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this solidly conservative area could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require developments outside the district's established electoral patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$24,919结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with August Pfluger's incumbency and unopposed path through the March 2026 Republican primary, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 93 percent. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins limit Democratic prospects, as Claire Reynolds emerged from a low-profile March primary to face Pfluger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Limited fundraising and organizational activity on the Democratic side reinforce the current positioning. A national political realignment, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this solidly conservative area could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require developments outside the district's established electoral patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,919结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with August Pfluger's incumbency and unopposed path through the March 2026 Republican primary, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 93 percent. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins limit Democratic prospects, as Claire Reynolds emerged from a low-profile March primary to face Pfluger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Limited fundraising and organizational activity on the Democratic side reinforce the current positioning. A national political realignment, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this solidly conservative area could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require developments outside the district's established electoral patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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