Recent candidate unification between the Democratic Party’s Kim Sang-wook and the Progressive Party’s Kim Jong-hoon has consolidated progressive support ahead of the June 3 local election, narrowing the contest primarily against People Power Party candidate Kim Doo-kyum. Traders assign Kim Sang-wook an 85.5 percent implied probability, reflecting this consolidation and polling trends that shifted after the May unification agreement. Earlier surveys showed a tighter race before the single-candidate arrangement reduced vote-splitting risks on the progressive side. Minor candidates Park Maeng-woo and Kim Jong-hoon receive negligible shares, consistent with their limited independent backing in Ulsan’s current political environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kim Sang-wook 86%
Kim Doo-kyum 14%
朴孟佑 <1%
金钟勋 <1%
$145,946 交易量
$145,946 交易量

Kim Sang-wook
86%

Kim Doo-kyum
14%

朴孟佑
<1%

金钟勋
<1%
Kim Sang-wook 86%
Kim Doo-kyum 14%
朴孟佑 <1%
金钟勋 <1%
$145,946 交易量
$145,946 交易量

Kim Sang-wook
86%

Kim Doo-kyum
14%

朴孟佑
<1%

金钟勋
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate unification between the Democratic Party’s Kim Sang-wook and the Progressive Party’s Kim Jong-hoon has consolidated progressive support ahead of the June 3 local election, narrowing the contest primarily against People Power Party candidate Kim Doo-kyum. Traders assign Kim Sang-wook an 85.5 percent implied probability, reflecting this consolidation and polling trends that shifted after the May unification agreement. Earlier surveys showed a tighter race before the single-candidate arrangement reduced vote-splitting risks on the progressive side. Minor candidates Park Maeng-woo and Kim Jong-hoon receive negligible shares, consistent with their limited independent backing in Ulsan’s current political environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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