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icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
地缘政治·墨西哥

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
地缘政治·墨西哥

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

6月 30

6月 30

$36,417 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$36,417 交易量

Polymarket

May 31

$26,756 交易量

3%

June 30

$9,660 交易量

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.U.S. pressure on Mexican cartels has intensified under the Trump administration through terrorist designations, extraditions, and a multilateral Americas Counter Cartel Coalition launched in March 2026, yet Mexico’s government under President Sheinbaum continues to prioritize sovereignty and limit U.S. roles to intelligence sharing or logistics. The April 19 Chihuahua incident, involving U.S. personnel in a fatal crash during a joint raid, prompted a formal Mexican protest against unauthorized participation and underscored bilateral frictions. No verified direct U.S. ground operations or kinetic strikes on foreign soil have occurred, aligning with trader consensus favoring delayed or indirect outcomes amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations and Mexican domestic political constraints. Upcoming factors include potential further indictments, coalition expansions, or shifts in Mexican cooperation ahead of any resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.

Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
交易量
$36,417
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.U.S. pressure on Mexican cartels has intensified under the Trump administration through terrorist designations, extraditions, and a multilateral Americas Counter Cartel Coalition launched in March 2026, yet Mexico’s government under President Sheinbaum continues to prioritize sovereignty and limit U.S. roles to intelligence sharing or logistics. The April 19 Chihuahua incident, involving U.S. personnel in a fatal crash during a joint raid, prompted a formal Mexican protest against unauthorized participation and underscored bilateral frictions. No verified direct U.S. ground operations or kinetic strikes on foreign soil have occurred, aligning with trader consensus favoring delayed or indirect outcomes amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations and Mexican domestic political constraints. Upcoming factors include potential further indictments, coalition expansions, or shifts in Mexican cooperation ahead of any resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.

Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
交易量
$36,417
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? "是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"June 30"，概率为 49%，其次是"May 31"，概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 49¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 49%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? "已产生 $36.4K 的总交易量（自May 15, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? "上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? "的当前领先者是"June 30"，概率为 49%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 49%。紧随其后的结果是"May 31"，概率为 3%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? "的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。