Recent tentative agreements between U.S. and Iranian negotiators focus on extending a ceasefire by 60 days, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and lifting related blockades, while deferring detailed nuclear talks—including limits on uranium enrichment and the fate of highly enriched uranium stockpiles—to a subsequent phase. President Trump has directed negotiators not to rush, and Iranian officials have described progress on some issues but stated that a comprehensive agreement is not imminent amid persistent gaps over sanctions relief and permanent enrichment curbs. These developments, occurring amid ongoing regional tensions and prior stalled rounds, have reinforced trader consensus that a full U.S.-Iran nuclear accord remains unlikely before the June 30 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$4,478,751 交易量
$4,478,751 交易量
是
$4,478,751 交易量
$4,478,751 交易量
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent tentative agreements between U.S. and Iranian negotiators focus on extending a ceasefire by 60 days, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and lifting related blockades, while deferring detailed nuclear talks—including limits on uranium enrichment and the fate of highly enriched uranium stockpiles—to a subsequent phase. President Trump has directed negotiators not to rush, and Iranian officials have described progress on some issues but stated that a comprehensive agreement is not imminent amid persistent gaps over sanctions relief and permanent enrichment curbs. These developments, occurring amid ongoing regional tensions and prior stalled rounds, have reinforced trader consensus that a full U.S.-Iran nuclear accord remains unlikely before the June 30 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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