Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 House seat, with incumbent Republican Rob Wittman seeking reelection against a crowded Democratic primary field set for August 4. The race tightened after Virginia's Supreme Court invalidated a mid-decade redistricting referendum in May 2026, preserving the existing map that favored Republicans by a narrow margin; the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene shortly afterward. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, yet trader consensus stays closely divided as Democrats consolidate behind a general-election nominee and both parties assess national midterm dynamics. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in turnout among suburban and rural voters could widen the gap before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,384 交易量
$18,384 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
50%
共和党
47%
$18,384 交易量
$18,384 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$16,529 交易量
50%
共和党
$1,855 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 House seat, with incumbent Republican Rob Wittman seeking reelection against a crowded Democratic primary field set for August 4. The race tightened after Virginia's Supreme Court invalidated a mid-decade redistricting referendum in May 2026, preserving the existing map that favored Republicans by a narrow margin; the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene shortly afterward. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, yet trader consensus stays closely divided as Democrats consolidate behind a general-election nominee and both parties assess national midterm dynamics. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in turnout among suburban and rural voters could widen the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$18,384结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 House seat, with incumbent Republican Rob Wittman seeking reelection against a crowded Democratic primary field set for August 4. The race tightened after Virginia's Supreme Court invalidated a mid-decade redistricting referendum in May 2026, preserving the existing map that favored Republicans by a narrow margin; the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene shortly afterward. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, yet trader consensus stays closely divided as Democrats consolidate behind a general-election nominee and both parties assess national midterm dynamics. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in turnout among suburban and rural voters could widen the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,384结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 House seat, with incumbent Republican Rob Wittman seeking reelection against a crowded Democratic primary field set for August 4. The race tightened after Virginia's Supreme Court invalidated a mid-decade redistricting referendum in May 2026, preserving the existing map that favored Republicans by a narrow margin; the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene shortly afterward. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, yet trader consensus stays closely divided as Democrats consolidate behind a general-election nominee and both parties assess national midterm dynamics. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in turnout among suburban and rural voters could widen the gap before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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