The Democratic Party holds a 58% implied probability in the VA-10 House election market, ahead of Republicans at 33.8%, reflecting the district’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the presence of incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its performance in recent presidential cycles. Virginia’s April 2026 voter-approved constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting was invalidated by the state Supreme Court in May and an appeal rejected by the U.S. Supreme Court later that month, leaving the existing 2021 map in place for the November 2026 general election. Both parties’ August 4 primaries remain ahead, but the structural lean and incumbency continue to shape trader assessments of the general-election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
37%
民主党
58%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$267 交易量
37%
民主党
$313 交易量
58%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a 58% implied probability in the VA-10 House election market, ahead of Republicans at 33.8%, reflecting the district’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the presence of incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its performance in recent presidential cycles. Virginia’s April 2026 voter-approved constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting was invalidated by the state Supreme Court in May and an appeal rejected by the U.S. Supreme Court later that month, leaving the existing 2021 map in place for the November 2026 general election. Both parties’ August 4 primaries remain ahead, but the structural lean and incumbency continue to shape trader assessments of the general-election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$580结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a 58% implied probability in the VA-10 House election market, ahead of Republicans at 33.8%, reflecting the district’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the presence of incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its performance in recent presidential cycles. Virginia’s April 2026 voter-approved constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting was invalidated by the state Supreme Court in May and an appeal rejected by the U.S. Supreme Court later that month, leaving the existing 2021 map in place for the November 2026 general election. Both parties’ August 4 primaries remain ahead, but the structural lean and incumbency continue to shape trader assessments of the general-election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$580结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a 58% implied probability in the VA-10 House election market, ahead of Republicans at 33.8%, reflecting the district’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the presence of incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its performance in recent presidential cycles. Virginia’s April 2026 voter-approved constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting was invalidated by the state Supreme Court in May and an appeal rejected by the U.S. Supreme Court later that month, leaving the existing 2021 map in place for the November 2026 general election. Both parties’ August 4 primaries remain ahead, but the structural lean and incumbency continue to shape trader assessments of the general-election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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