Skip to main content
icon for Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

icon for Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$113,017 交易量

Polymarket

$113,017 交易量

Polymarket

Mahmoud Khalil

$1,180 交易量

54%

John Brennan

$6,637 交易量

62%

Lisa Cook

$396 交易量

46%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

$7,488 交易量

38%

Letitia James

$1,330 交易量

31%

James Clapper

$2,634 交易量

20%

Brandon Johnson

$1,887 交易量

16%

Tom Homan

$28,005 交易量

16%

Lee Jun-seok

$555 交易量

14%

Loretta Lynch

$427 交易量

11%

Susan Rice

$262 交易量

13%

Anthony Fauci

$8,052 交易量

8%

Candace Owens

$257 交易量

7%

Hillary Clinton

$14,006 交易量

7%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$275 交易量

23%

Barack Obama

$1,368 交易量

6%

Gavin Newsom

$18,673 交易量

6%

John Kerry

$86 交易量

5%

Kash Patel

$153 交易量

5%

Adam Schiff

$6,572 交易量

5%

Pam Bondi

$1,539 交易量

4%

Bill Clinton

$332 交易量

4%

James Comey

$9,224 交易量

17%

Joe Biden

$1,675 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal investigations into former U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials, along with state attorneys general, continue to shape legal proceedings under the current administration. Recent indictments, including actions against figures such as James Comey and Letitia James on charges related to prior conduct, have advanced through grand jury processes and arraignments. These cases involve allegations of fraud, false statements, and other matters tied to past official roles, with procedural steps like plea entries and trial scheduling remaining active. Additional scrutiny targets other former appointees and regulators, potentially leading to further charges or resolutions before the 2027 deadline. Scheduled court hearings and any new filings in these matters represent key upcoming developments that could influence outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$113,017
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal investigations into former U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials, along with state attorneys general, continue to shape legal proceedings under the current administration. Recent indictments, including actions against figures such as James Comey and Letitia James on charges related to prior conduct, have advanced through grand jury processes and arraignments. These cases involve allegations of fraud, false statements, and other matters tied to past official roles, with procedural steps like plea entries and trial scheduling remaining active. Additional scrutiny targets other former appointees and regulators, potentially leading to further charges or resolutions before the 2027 deadline. Scheduled court hearings and any new filings in these matters represent key upcoming developments that could influence outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$113,017
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will be arrested before 2027?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"John Brennan",概率为 62%,其次是"Mahmoud Khalil",概率为 54%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Who will be arrested before 2027?"已产生 $113K 的总交易量(自Apr 30, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will be arrested before 2027?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will be arrested before 2027?"的当前领先者是"John Brennan",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"Mahmoud Khalil",概率为 54%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will be arrested before 2027?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。