Incumbent Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the NY-04 Democratic primary because the June 23 contest was canceled after challengers including Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones withdrew or were disqualified, allowing the sitting representative to advance automatically. Gillen’s strong fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and recent bipartisan legislative activity have consolidated support among Democratic voters in the Long Island district. Remaining low-probability outcomes would require an unforeseen reversal of the cancellation or late procedural change before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于劳拉·吉伦 93%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔 6%
泰勒·达林 1.0%
吉安·琼斯 <1%
$26,833 交易量
$26,833 交易量
2026-06-23
劳拉·吉伦
93%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔
6%
泰勒·达林
1%
吉安·琼斯
<1%
劳拉·吉伦 93%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔 6%
泰勒·达林 1.0%
吉安·琼斯 <1%
$26,833 交易量
$26,833 交易量
2026-06-23
劳拉·吉伦
$9,812 交易量
93%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔
$11,777 交易量
6%
泰勒·达林
$2,901 交易量
1%
吉安·琼斯
$2,360 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the NY-04 Democratic primary because the June 23 contest was canceled after challengers including Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones withdrew or were disqualified, allowing the sitting representative to advance automatically. Gillen’s strong fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and recent bipartisan legislative activity have consolidated support among Democratic voters in the Long Island district. Remaining low-probability outcomes would require an unforeseen reversal of the cancellation or late procedural change before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
交易量
$26,833结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the NY-04 Democratic primary because the June 23 contest was canceled after challengers including Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones withdrew or were disqualified, allowing the sitting representative to advance automatically. Gillen’s strong fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and recent bipartisan legislative activity have consolidated support among Democratic voters in the Long Island district. Remaining low-probability outcomes would require an unforeseen reversal of the cancellation or late procedural change before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$26,833结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the NY-04 Democratic primary because the June 23 contest was canceled after challengers including Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones withdrew or were disqualified, allowing the sitting representative to advance automatically. Gillen’s strong fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and recent bipartisan legislative activity have consolidated support among Democratic voters in the Long Island district. Remaining low-probability outcomes would require an unforeseen reversal of the cancellation or late procedural change before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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