Micah Lasher holds a leading edge in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District, an open seat after longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler’s retirement, thanks to the retiring representative’s February endorsement and Lasher’s record as a state assemblyman focused on housing and consumer issues. Recent Emerson polling from mid-May showed Lasher narrowly ahead of Alex Bores at 22 percent to 20 percent among likely primary voters, with Jack Schlossberg and George Conway further back amid a large undecided share. Bores, another assembly member emphasizing AI safety legislation, has drawn strong fundraising and union support but trails in trader assessments of ground-game momentum. The contest remains fluid with multiple forums and targeted ads in the final weeks shaping the outcome among Manhattan’s dense Democratic electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Micah Lasher 54%
Alex Bores 36%
杰克·施洛斯伯格 8%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal <1%
$372,536 交易量
$372,536 交易量
Micah Lasher
54%
Alex Bores
36%
杰克·施洛斯伯格
8%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
莉兹·克鲁格
<1%
埃里克·博彻
<1%
卡罗琳·马洛尼
<1%
盖尔·布鲁尔
<1%
布拉德·兰德
<1%
卡梅伦·卡斯基
<1%
莉娜·汗
<1%
朱莉·梅宁
<1%
切尔西·克林顿
<1%
利亚姆·埃尔金德
<1%
斯科特·斯金格
<1%
乔治·康威
<1%
安德鲁·库默
<1%
辛西娅·尼克松
<1%
Micah Lasher 54%
Alex Bores 36%
杰克·施洛斯伯格 8%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal <1%
$372,536 交易量
$372,536 交易量
Micah Lasher
54%
Alex Bores
36%
杰克·施洛斯伯格
8%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
莉兹·克鲁格
<1%
埃里克·博彻
<1%
卡罗琳·马洛尼
<1%
盖尔·布鲁尔
<1%
布拉德·兰德
<1%
卡梅伦·卡斯基
<1%
莉娜·汗
<1%
朱莉·梅宁
<1%
切尔西·克林顿
<1%
利亚姆·埃尔金德
<1%
斯科特·斯金格
<1%
乔治·康威
<1%
安德鲁·库默
<1%
辛西娅·尼克松
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Micah Lasher holds a leading edge in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District, an open seat after longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler’s retirement, thanks to the retiring representative’s February endorsement and Lasher’s record as a state assemblyman focused on housing and consumer issues. Recent Emerson polling from mid-May showed Lasher narrowly ahead of Alex Bores at 22 percent to 20 percent among likely primary voters, with Jack Schlossberg and George Conway further back amid a large undecided share. Bores, another assembly member emphasizing AI safety legislation, has drawn strong fundraising and union support but trails in trader assessments of ground-game momentum. The contest remains fluid with multiple forums and targeted ads in the final weeks shaping the outcome among Manhattan’s dense Democratic electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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