Tulsi Gabbard’s May 2026 resignation as Director of National Intelligence, effective June 30 due to her husband’s health, has opened a vacancy that traders see as contested among Trump-aligned intelligence veterans. John Ratcliffe’s prior DNI service and current CIA role give him the narrow lead, while Michael Ellis’s position as Ratcliffe’s CIA deputy and Aaron Lukas’s status as principal deputy DNI position them as immediate alternatives with operational experience. The tight spread among these and other nominees reflects uncertainty over whether Trump will elevate an insider already in the community or select from a broader pool before year-end, with no decisive signals yet emerging on confirmation timelines or preferences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
John Ratcliffe 31.9%
Michael Ellis 31.6%
Aaron Lukas 20%
Devin Nunes 14%
$32,737 交易量
$32,737 交易量
2026-12-31
John Ratcliffe
32%
Michael Ellis
28%
Aaron Lukas
20%
Devin Nunes
14%
伊丽斯·斯特凡尼克
11%
No announcement by December 31
6%
John Eisenberg
5%
Richard Grenell
5%
Sebastian Gorka
4%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Chris Stewart
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Mike Flynn
2%
Derek Harvey
1%
Stephen Miller
1%
Stacey Dixon
1%
Tom Cotton
<1%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
John Ratcliffe 31.9%
Michael Ellis 31.6%
Aaron Lukas 20%
Devin Nunes 14%
$32,737 交易量
$32,737 交易量
2026-12-31
John Ratcliffe
$281 交易量
32%
Michael Ellis
$401 交易量
28%
Aaron Lukas
$6,110 交易量
20%
Devin Nunes
$4,529 交易量
14%
伊丽斯·斯特凡尼克
$10,907 交易量
11%
No announcement by December 31
$305 交易量
6%
John Eisenberg
$156 交易量
5%
Richard Grenell
$7,952 交易量
5%
Sebastian Gorka
$148 交易量
4%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
$174 交易量
4%
Chris Stewart
$255 交易量
3%
Robert O’Brien
$164 交易量
3%
Mike Flynn
$152 交易量
2%
Derek Harvey
$254 交易量
1%
Stephen Miller
$130 交易量
1%
Stacey Dixon
$274 交易量
1%
Tom Cotton
$230 交易量
<1%
Kash Patel
$157 交易量
<1%
Mike Waltz
$156 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tulsi Gabbard’s May 2026 resignation as Director of National Intelligence, effective June 30 due to her husband’s health, has opened a vacancy that traders see as contested among Trump-aligned intelligence veterans. John Ratcliffe’s prior DNI service and current CIA role give him the narrow lead, while Michael Ellis’s position as Ratcliffe’s CIA deputy and Aaron Lukas’s status as principal deputy DNI position them as immediate alternatives with operational experience. The tight spread among these and other nominees reflects uncertainty over whether Trump will elevate an insider already in the community or select from a broader pool before year-end, with no decisive signals yet emerging on confirmation timelines or preferences.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$32,737结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tulsi Gabbard’s May 2026 resignation as Director of National Intelligence, effective June 30 due to her husband’s health, has opened a vacancy that traders see as contested among Trump-aligned intelligence veterans. John Ratcliffe’s prior DNI service and current CIA role give him the narrow lead, while Michael Ellis’s position as Ratcliffe’s CIA deputy and Aaron Lukas’s status as principal deputy DNI position them as immediate alternatives with operational experience. The tight spread among these and other nominees reflects uncertainty over whether Trump will elevate an insider already in the community or select from a broader pool before year-end, with no decisive signals yet emerging on confirmation timelines or preferences.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,737结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tulsi Gabbard’s May 2026 resignation as Director of National Intelligence, effective June 30 due to her husband’s health, has opened a vacancy that traders see as contested among Trump-aligned intelligence veterans. John Ratcliffe’s prior DNI service and current CIA role give him the narrow lead, while Michael Ellis’s position as Ratcliffe’s CIA deputy and Aaron Lukas’s status as principal deputy DNI position them as immediate alternatives with operational experience. The tight spread among these and other nominees reflects uncertainty over whether Trump will elevate an insider already in the community or select from a broader pool before year-end, with no decisive signals yet emerging on confirmation timelines or preferences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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