Recent resignation of Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence, effective June 30 due to family health reasons, has opened the permanent position, with her principal deputy Aaron Lukas designated as acting director. This development has elevated Lukas in trader assessments while keeping the field open among other Trump-aligned figures with intelligence community or congressional experience. Multiple candidates share comparable positioning through prior service or proximity to the administration, and no definitive signals have emerged on preferences or vetting timelines ahead of a potential Senate confirmation process. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether an announcement will favor an acting official, a prior officeholder, or another loyalist before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
John Ratcliffe 33.4%
Michael Ellis 31.6%
Aaron Lukas 20%
伊丽斯·斯特凡尼克 11%
$32,737 交易量
$32,737 交易量
John Ratcliffe
33%
Michael Ellis
32%
Aaron Lukas
20%
伊丽斯·斯特凡尼克
11%
Devin Nunes
11%
No announcement by December 31
6%
John Eisenberg
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Richard Grenell
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Chris Stewart
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Mike Flynn
2%
Derek Harvey
1%
Stephen Miller
1%
Stacey Dixon
1%
Tom Cotton
<1%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
John Ratcliffe 33.4%
Michael Ellis 31.6%
Aaron Lukas 20%
伊丽斯·斯特凡尼克 11%
$32,737 交易量
$32,737 交易量
John Ratcliffe
33%
Michael Ellis
32%
Aaron Lukas
20%
伊丽斯·斯特凡尼克
11%
Devin Nunes
11%
No announcement by December 31
6%
John Eisenberg
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Richard Grenell
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Chris Stewart
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Mike Flynn
2%
Derek Harvey
1%
Stephen Miller
1%
Stacey Dixon
1%
Tom Cotton
<1%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent resignation of Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence, effective June 30 due to family health reasons, has opened the permanent position, with her principal deputy Aaron Lukas designated as acting director. This development has elevated Lukas in trader assessments while keeping the field open among other Trump-aligned figures with intelligence community or congressional experience. Multiple candidates share comparable positioning through prior service or proximity to the administration, and no definitive signals have emerged on preferences or vetting timelines ahead of a potential Senate confirmation process. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether an announcement will favor an acting official, a prior officeholder, or another loyalist before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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