The formidable constitutional requirements for any Canadian province to secede and for the United States to admit new states as equal members drive the near-certain trader consensus against Alberta joining the US. Recent petition drives and a scheduled October 2026 referendum on triggering an independence process have revived separatist discussions, yet polling shows limited support for leaving Canada, with even narrower interest in US statehood. Canadian officials have reiterated expectations that the United States respect national sovereignty, and no bilateral mechanisms or negotiations address territorial accession. While major economic disruptions, federal-provincial realignments, or shifts in US policy could theoretically create new pathways, current structural barriers and public sentiment indicate these remain distant possibilities within the market's resolution timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,066,728 交易量
$1,066,728 交易量
是
$1,066,728 交易量
$1,066,728 交易量
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The formidable constitutional requirements for any Canadian province to secede and for the United States to admit new states as equal members drive the near-certain trader consensus against Alberta joining the US. Recent petition drives and a scheduled October 2026 referendum on triggering an independence process have revived separatist discussions, yet polling shows limited support for leaving Canada, with even narrower interest in US statehood. Canadian officials have reiterated expectations that the United States respect national sovereignty, and no bilateral mechanisms or negotiations address territorial accession. While major economic disruptions, federal-provincial realignments, or shifts in US policy could theoretically create new pathways, current structural barriers and public sentiment indicate these remain distant possibilities within the market's resolution timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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