Ongoing US-Iran tensions, marked by a February 2026 conflict, a fragile April ceasefire, and continued May negotiations on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief, have kept full diplomatic restoration off the table. US interests in Iran continue to be handled through Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced plans or breakthroughs toward reopening the embassy. Recent rounds of talks have produced gaps on core issues and no agreement on broader normalization, sustaining trader consensus around an 85% probability against any 2026 reopening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$141,738 交易量
$141,738 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$141,738 交易量
$141,738 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions, marked by a February 2026 conflict, a fragile April ceasefire, and continued May negotiations on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief, have kept full diplomatic restoration off the table. US interests in Iran continue to be handled through Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced plans or breakthroughs toward reopening the embassy. Recent rounds of talks have produced gaps on core issues and no agreement on broader normalization, sustaining trader consensus around an 85% probability against any 2026 reopening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$141,738结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions, marked by a February 2026 conflict, a fragile April ceasefire, and continued May negotiations on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief, have kept full diplomatic restoration off the table. US interests in Iran continue to be handled through Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced plans or breakthroughs toward reopening the embassy. Recent rounds of talks have produced gaps on core issues and no agreement on broader normalization, sustaining trader consensus around an 85% probability against any 2026 reopening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$141,738结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions, marked by a February 2026 conflict, a fragile April ceasefire, and continued May negotiations on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief, have kept full diplomatic restoration off the table. US interests in Iran continue to be handled through Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced plans or breakthroughs toward reopening the embassy. Recent rounds of talks have produced gaps on core issues and no agreement on broader normalization, sustaining trader consensus around an 85% probability against any 2026 reopening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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