Trump's second-term rhetoric features a documented rise in profanity, personal insults, and combative language across speeches and Truth Social posts, with analyses showing the trend accelerating since January 2025 and appearing in roughly 93 percent of recent addresses. This pattern, including recent examples tied to Iran policy disputes and criticisms of political figures, shapes trader assessments of daily occurrence probabilities. Scheduled events such as policy meetings and public remarks in early June 2026 provide ongoing opportunities for statements, while the absence of major moderating influences sustains expectations of continued direct language in public forums.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
$14,639 交易量
2026-06-30
6月2日
97%
6月29日
93%
6月3日
95%
6月4日
94%
6月21日
93%
6月5日
94%
6月12日
92%
6月6日
92%
6月7日
92%
6月8日
93%
6月28日
91%
6月9日
93%
6月10日
94%
6月26日
91%
6月11日
91%
6月13日
92%
6月14日
92%
6月15日
91%
6月16日
91%
6月18日
92%
6月17日
91%
6月19日
91%
6月22日
91%
6月20日
91%
6月23日
91%
6月24日
91%
6月25日
91%
6月27日
91%
6月30日
91%
$14,639 交易量
6月2日
$19,098 交易量
97%
6月29日
$172 交易量
93%
6月3日
$601 交易量
95%
6月4日
$267 交易量
94%
6月21日
$28 交易量
93%
6月5日
$166 交易量
94%
6月12日
$14 交易量
92%
6月6日
$64 交易量
92%
6月7日
$22 交易量
92%
6月8日
$54 交易量
93%
6月28日
$1 交易量
91%
6月9日
$9 交易量
93%
6月10日
$41 交易量
94%
6月26日
$1 交易量
91%
6月11日
$9 交易量
91%
6月13日
$40 交易量
92%
6月14日
$1 交易量
92%
6月15日
$1 交易量
91%
6月16日
$1 交易量
91%
6月18日
$1 交易量
92%
6月17日
$1 交易量
91%
6月19日
$0 交易量
91%
6月22日
$0 交易量
91%
6月20日
$0 交易量
91%
6月23日
$0 交易量
91%
6月24日
$0 交易量
91%
6月25日
$0 交易量
91%
6月27日
$0 交易量
91%
6月30日
$0 交易量
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second-term rhetoric features a documented rise in profanity, personal insults, and combative language across speeches and Truth Social posts, with analyses showing the trend accelerating since January 2025 and appearing in roughly 93 percent of recent addresses. This pattern, including recent examples tied to Iran policy disputes and criticisms of political figures, shapes trader assessments of daily occurrence probabilities. Scheduled events such as policy meetings and public remarks in early June 2026 provide ongoing opportunities for statements, while the absence of major moderating influences sustains expectations of continued direct language in public forums.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
交易量
$14,639结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second-term rhetoric features a documented rise in profanity, personal insults, and combative language across speeches and Truth Social posts, with analyses showing the trend accelerating since January 2025 and appearing in roughly 93 percent of recent addresses. This pattern, including recent examples tied to Iran policy disputes and criticisms of political figures, shapes trader assessments of daily occurrence probabilities. Scheduled events such as policy meetings and public remarks in early June 2026 provide ongoing opportunities for statements, while the absence of major moderating influences sustains expectations of continued direct language in public forums.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$14,639结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second-term rhetoric features a documented rise in profanity, personal insults, and combative language across speeches and Truth Social posts, with analyses showing the trend accelerating since January 2025 and appearing in roughly 93 percent of recent addresses. This pattern, including recent examples tied to Iran policy disputes and criticisms of political figures, shapes trader assessments of daily occurrence probabilities. Scheduled events such as policy meetings and public remarks in early June 2026 provide ongoing opportunities for statements, while the absence of major moderating influences sustains expectations of continued direct language in public forums.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题