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Legal 预测与赔率

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Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

2%

$49.6K 交易量

$37.6K Liq.

26

Ends 7 个月内

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

11%

July 31

$947K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

4

Ends 7 个月内

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

69%

June 30

$29.5K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends 28 天内

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

6%

$37.1K 交易量

$39.8K Liq.

3

Ends 28 天内

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

9%

$38.6K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

8

Ends 7 个月内

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

4%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$34.9K Liq.

1,038

Ends 28 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

49%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

130

Ends 7 个月内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

12%

June 30

$165K 交易量

$270 Liq.

10

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

10%

$131K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

30

Ends 7 个月内

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

9%

$11.3K 交易量

$71.5K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$40.3K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

7%

$2.7K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

91%

$21.8K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

1

Ends 7 个月内

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

2%

$2.0K 交易量

$6.5K Liq.

Ends 28 天内

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

2%

June 30

$40.3K 交易量

$28.6K Liq.

Ends 28 天内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

58%

June 30, 2027

$489K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

31

Ends 超过 1 年内

James Comey charges dropped by July 31?

James Comey charges dropped by July 31?

12%

$1.8K 交易量

$13.5K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

84%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.9K 交易量

$24.9K Liq.

5

Ends 7 个月内

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$300 交易量

$111 Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$10.6K 交易量

$606 Liq.

7

Ends 2 天前

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Legal 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 179 个活跃的 Legal 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will Iran legalize gay marriage?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $8.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Iran legalize gay marriage?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Epstein client list released by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Epstein client list released by...?",市场目前认为 June 30 的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Legal 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。