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Erdogan predictions & odds

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Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

8%

$514K Vol.

$51.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

76%

JD Vance

$287K Vol.

$132K today

$599K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$20M Vol.

$90.1K today

$2M Liq.

190

Ends in 4 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$840K Vol.

$321K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

What will Trump say during meeting with French President?

What will Trump say during meeting with French President?

59%

Ukraine

$19 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

18%

$107K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

13

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

51%

40-59

$10.0K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

21%

$46.7K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 16 days

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

14%

$4.2K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

19%

$781 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

36%

60-79

$2.3K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Zelenskyy # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

44%

60-79

$7.6K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

71%

Donald Trump

$109K Vol.

$42.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 23 days

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

87%

<5

$12.7K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

29%

$12.3K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

World Cup: Türkiye Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Türkiye Stage of Elimination

45%

Group Stage

$13.8K Vol.

$66.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

8%

$67.2K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

85%

<5

$2.5K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

80%

<5

$5.7K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

57%

Reform

$5.3K Vol.

$685 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Erdogan.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Erdogan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 10% chance to Volodymyr Zelenskyy. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Erdogan predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.