Jordan Bardella leads National Rally candidate markets for the 2027 French presidential election at 70.5 percent, ahead of Marine Le Pen at 23.5 percent, reflecting trader consensus on her March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, which remains in effect pending appeal. A July 2026 court ruling on that appeal could restore her eligibility and shift dynamics within the party. Bardella, as RN president, has consolidated support through strong first-round polling and the party's recent municipal gains, while minor recent differences over economic measures such as windfall taxes have not altered his frontrunner status. The implied probabilities track these legal timelines and internal positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jordan Bardella 71%
Marine Le Pen 24%
Multiple Candidates 4.6%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
24%
Jordan Bardella
71%
Multiple Candidates
5%
Jordan Bardella 71%
Marine Le Pen 24%
Multiple Candidates 4.6%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
$1,186 交易量
24%
Jordan Bardella
$2,830 交易量
71%
Multiple Candidates
$596 交易量
5%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads National Rally candidate markets for the 2027 French presidential election at 70.5 percent, ahead of Marine Le Pen at 23.5 percent, reflecting trader consensus on her March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, which remains in effect pending appeal. A July 2026 court ruling on that appeal could restore her eligibility and shift dynamics within the party. Bardella, as RN president, has consolidated support through strong first-round polling and the party's recent municipal gains, while minor recent differences over economic measures such as windfall taxes have not altered his frontrunner status. The implied probabilities track these legal timelines and internal positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$4,613结束日期
2027-04-23市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads National Rally candidate markets for the 2027 French presidential election at 70.5 percent, ahead of Marine Le Pen at 23.5 percent, reflecting trader consensus on her March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, which remains in effect pending appeal. A July 2026 court ruling on that appeal could restore her eligibility and shift dynamics within the party. Bardella, as RN president, has consolidated support through strong first-round polling and the party's recent municipal gains, while minor recent differences over economic measures such as windfall taxes have not altered his frontrunner status. The implied probabilities track these legal timelines and internal positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,613结束日期
2027-04-23市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Bardella leads National Rally candidate markets for the 2027 French presidential election at 70.5 percent, ahead of Marine Le Pen at 23.5 percent, reflecting trader consensus on her March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, which remains in effect pending appeal. A July 2026 court ruling on that appeal could restore her eligibility and shift dynamics within the party. Bardella, as RN president, has consolidated support through strong first-round polling and the party's recent municipal gains, while minor recent differences over economic measures such as windfall taxes have not altered his frontrunner status. The implied probabilities track these legal timelines and internal positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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