Civil Contract maintains its commanding position ahead of Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary election due to consistent leads in recent polling, with support around 28-32 percent compared to single-digit or low-teens figures for major rivals such as Strong Armenia. Incumbent Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s party benefits from its established parliamentary majority, a campaign centered on peace negotiations with Azerbaijan and closer European Union ties, and the fragmentation of opposition forces. A sizable bloc of undecided and non-committed voters, often exceeding 20 percent in surveys, underpins the market’s assessment of low risk for an upset. Late shifts among undecided voters, higher-than-expected turnout favoring challengers, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the margin or alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于公民契约党 95%
强大亚美尼亚 4.5%
亚美尼亚联盟 1.0%
繁荣亚美尼亚党 <1%
$393,781 交易量
$393,781 交易量

公民契约党
95%

强大亚美尼亚
4%

亚美尼亚联盟
1%

繁荣亚美尼亚党
<1%

亚美尼亚全国大会
<1%

光明亚美尼亚党
<1%

我有荣耀联盟
<1%

Hanrapetutyun党
<1%

传统党
<1%

奥里纳茨·耶尔基尔
<1%
公民契约党 95%
强大亚美尼亚 4.5%
亚美尼亚联盟 1.0%
繁荣亚美尼亚党 <1%
$393,781 交易量
$393,781 交易量

公民契约党
95%

强大亚美尼亚
4%

亚美尼亚联盟
1%

繁荣亚美尼亚党
<1%

亚美尼亚全国大会
<1%

光明亚美尼亚党
<1%

我有荣耀联盟
<1%

Hanrapetutyun党
<1%

传统党
<1%

奥里纳茨·耶尔基尔
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市场开放时间: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract maintains its commanding position ahead of Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary election due to consistent leads in recent polling, with support around 28-32 percent compared to single-digit or low-teens figures for major rivals such as Strong Armenia. Incumbent Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s party benefits from its established parliamentary majority, a campaign centered on peace negotiations with Azerbaijan and closer European Union ties, and the fragmentation of opposition forces. A sizable bloc of undecided and non-committed voters, often exceeding 20 percent in surveys, underpins the market’s assessment of low risk for an upset. Late shifts among undecided voters, higher-than-expected turnout favoring challengers, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the margin or alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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