Ciro Gomes leads trader sentiment in the Ceará governor race due to recent polling momentum and opposition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 election. Surveys such as Datafolha show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas, reflecting Ciro's return to the PSDB and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of his home state, where he previously served as governor. Elmano maintains solid PT support and high approval ratings but trails in head-to-head matchups. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana and others stem from limited declared candidacies and weaker current positioning in statewide surveys. These dynamics have shaped the market's implied probabilities around Ciro's frontrunner status.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 61%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 4.0%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$59,123 交易量
$59,123 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
61%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
4%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Capitão Wagner
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 61%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 4.0%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$59,123 交易量
$59,123 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$37,630 交易量
61%
Elmano de Freitas
$8,061 交易量
28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$3,409 交易量
4%
Eduardo Girão
$3,437 交易量
1%
Capitão Wagner
$4,415 交易量
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,172 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader sentiment in the Ceará governor race due to recent polling momentum and opposition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 election. Surveys such as Datafolha show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas, reflecting Ciro's return to the PSDB and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of his home state, where he previously served as governor. Elmano maintains solid PT support and high approval ratings but trails in head-to-head matchups. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana and others stem from limited declared candidacies and weaker current positioning in statewide surveys. These dynamics have shaped the market's implied probabilities around Ciro's frontrunner status.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$59,123结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader sentiment in the Ceará governor race due to recent polling momentum and opposition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 election. Surveys such as Datafolha show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas, reflecting Ciro's return to the PSDB and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of his home state, where he previously served as governor. Elmano maintains solid PT support and high approval ratings but trails in head-to-head matchups. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana and others stem from limited declared candidacies and weaker current positioning in statewide surveys. These dynamics have shaped the market's implied probabilities around Ciro's frontrunner status.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$59,123结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads trader sentiment in the Ceará governor race due to recent polling momentum and opposition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 election. Surveys such as Datafolha show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas, reflecting Ciro's return to the PSDB and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of his home state, where he previously served as governor. Elmano maintains solid PT support and high approval ratings but trails in head-to-head matchups. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana and others stem from limited declared candidacies and weaker current positioning in statewide surveys. These dynamics have shaped the market's implied probabilities around Ciro's frontrunner status.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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