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icon for 哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名
政治·全球选举

哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名

icon for 哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名
政治·全球选举

哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名

Iván Cepeda Castro 99.3%

Abelardo de la Espriella <1%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Gustavo Bolívar <1%

Polymarket

$269,405 交易量

Iván Cepeda Castro 99.3%

Abelardo de la Espriella <1%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Gustavo Bolívar <1%

Polymarket

$269,405 交易量

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$70,095 交易量

99%

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$53,396 交易量

1%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$48,635 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$10,280 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$4,683 交易量

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$7,215 交易量

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$12,330 交易量

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$4,671 交易量

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$4,513 交易量

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$5,952 交易量

<1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$11,685 交易量

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$5,203 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$5,553 交易量

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$10,290 交易量

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$5,620 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda secured a clear second-place finish in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote with roughly 41 percent, trailing only Abelardo de la Espriella’s 44 percent plurality. Pre-election surveys had shown Cepeda leading as the Historic Pact standard-bearer and continuity candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s coalition, yet late momentum for de la Espriella’s tough-on-crime platform narrowed the gap without displacing Cepeda from second. The remaining field, including Paloma Valencia and other center-right and independent contenders, split the balance of support and failed to reach runoff thresholds. With nearly all ballots tallied, official results leave scant room for shifts, though final certification and any narrow recount disputes could still be monitored ahead of the June 21 runoff.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$269,405
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda secured a clear second-place finish in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote with roughly 41 percent, trailing only Abelardo de la Espriella’s 44 percent plurality. Pre-election surveys had shown Cepeda leading as the Historic Pact standard-bearer and continuity candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s coalition, yet late momentum for de la Espriella’s tough-on-crime platform narrowed the gap without displacing Cepeda from second. The remaining field, including Paloma Valencia and other center-right and independent contenders, split the balance of support and failed to reach runoff thresholds. With nearly all ballots tallied, official results leave scant room for shifts, though final certification and any narrow recount disputes could still be monitored ahead of the June 21 runoff.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$269,405
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Iván Cepeda Castro"，概率为 99%，其次是"Abelardo de la Espriella"，概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"已产生 $269.4K 的总交易量（自Apr 21, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"的当前领先者是"Iván Cepeda Castro"，概率为 99%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"Abelardo de la Espriella"，概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。