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icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá
政治·折旧200, 5.5, 20

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá
政治·折旧200, 5.5, 20

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá

Iván Cepeda Castro 99.6%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Daniel Quintero <1%

Polymarket

$9,201 交易量

Iván Cepeda Castro 99.6%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Daniel Quintero <1%

Polymarket

$9,201 交易量

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3,289 交易量

100%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$193 交易量

1%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$360 交易量

1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$196 交易量

1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$202 交易量

1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$197 交易量

1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$193 交易量

1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$313 交易量

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$193 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$193 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$193 交易量

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$197 交易量

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$634 交易量

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$197 交易量

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$254 交易量

<1%

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$2,088 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda Castro’s commanding position in this Bogotá-specific market stems from the capital’s consistent preference for candidates aligned with the Historic Pact coalition and its emphasis on peace negotiations. As a senator representing Bogotá and a close ally of outgoing President Gustavo Petro, Cepeda drew strong support from the city’s urban, progressive electorate during the May 31 first round. Other contenders, including former Bogotá mayor Claudia López and center-right figures like Paloma Valencia, fragmented votes nationally without mounting a credible challenge in the capital. With the election concluded and preliminary results confirming Cepeda’s national second-place finish behind Abelardo de la Espriella, full certification of Bogotá tallies remains the key outstanding factor. Late shifts in verified counts or successful legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments face substantial procedural hurdles.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$9,201
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda Castro’s commanding position in this Bogotá-specific market stems from the capital’s consistent preference for candidates aligned with the Historic Pact coalition and its emphasis on peace negotiations. As a senator representing Bogotá and a close ally of outgoing President Gustavo Petro, Cepeda drew strong support from the city’s urban, progressive electorate during the May 31 first round. Other contenders, including former Bogotá mayor Claudia López and center-right figures like Paloma Valencia, fragmented votes nationally without mounting a credible challenge in the capital. With the election concluded and preliminary results confirming Cepeda’s national second-place finish behind Abelardo de la Espriella, full certification of Bogotá tallies remains the key outstanding factor. Late shifts in verified counts or successful legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments face substantial procedural hurdles.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$9,201
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Iván Cepeda Castro"，概率为 100%，其次是"Vicky Dávila"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于May 25, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá"的当前领先者是"Iván Cepeda Castro"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Vicky Dávila"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。