The fragmented field in Los Angeles's June 2 nonpartisan primary drives the 96.5% trader consensus against an outright first-round winner. Recent polls show incumbent Karen Bass, Spencer Pratt, and Nithya Raman locked in the low-to-mid 20s percent range among likely voters, with the balance split among other candidates and undecideds. Los Angeles rules require a majority for immediate victory, after which the top two advance to a November runoff. High undecided shares earlier in the cycle and the absence of any candidate consolidating support near 50% have reinforced this positioning. A sudden late consolidation of preferences or turnout surge favoring one contender remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,496 交易量
$33,496 交易量
2026-06-02
$33,496 交易量
$33,496 交易量
2026-06-02
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.The fragmented field in Los Angeles's June 2 nonpartisan primary drives the 96.5% trader consensus against an outright first-round winner. Recent polls show incumbent Karen Bass, Spencer Pratt, and Nithya Raman locked in the low-to-mid 20s percent range among likely voters, with the balance split among other candidates and undecideds. Los Angeles rules require a majority for immediate victory, after which the top two advance to a November runoff. High undecided shares earlier in the cycle and the absence of any candidate consolidating support near 50% have reinforced this positioning. A sudden late consolidation of preferences or turnout surge favoring one contender remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome before polls close.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$33,496结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.The fragmented field in Los Angeles's June 2 nonpartisan primary drives the 96.5% trader consensus against an outright first-round winner. Recent polls show incumbent Karen Bass, Spencer Pratt, and Nithya Raman locked in the low-to-mid 20s percent range among likely voters, with the balance split among other candidates and undecideds. Los Angeles rules require a majority for immediate victory, after which the top two advance to a November runoff. High undecided shares earlier in the cycle and the absence of any candidate consolidating support near 50% have reinforced this positioning. A sudden late consolidation of preferences or turnout surge favoring one contender remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome before polls close.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$33,496结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The fragmented field in Los Angeles's June 2 nonpartisan primary drives the 96.5% trader consensus against an outright first-round winner. Recent polls show incumbent Karen Bass, Spencer Pratt, and Nithya Raman locked in the low-to-mid 20s percent range among likely voters, with the balance split among other candidates and undecideds. Los Angeles rules require a majority for immediate victory, after which the top two advance to a November runoff. High undecided shares earlier in the cycle and the absence of any candidate consolidating support near 50% have reinforced this positioning. A sudden late consolidation of preferences or turnout surge favoring one contender remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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