The open seat created by incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds declining a third term has positioned the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial race as unusually competitive. Democratic nominee Rob Sand, the state auditor running unopposed in the June 2 primary, leads hypothetical general-election matchups against leading Republican contenders by 8 to 12 points in recent polls. This dynamic, combined with Cook Political Report shifting its rating to toss-up, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republican primary voters select their nominee today from a crowded field that includes U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra, with no candidate yet consolidating broad support. Scheduled November general-election results will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,928 交易量
$40,928 交易量

民主党
63%

共和党
38%
$40,928 交易量
$40,928 交易量

民主党
63%

共和党
38%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds declining a third term has positioned the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial race as unusually competitive. Democratic nominee Rob Sand, the state auditor running unopposed in the June 2 primary, leads hypothetical general-election matchups against leading Republican contenders by 8 to 12 points in recent polls. This dynamic, combined with Cook Political Report shifting its rating to toss-up, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republican primary voters select their nominee today from a crowded field that includes U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra, with no candidate yet consolidating broad support. Scheduled November general-election results will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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