Negotiations between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program remain stalled on core enrichment issues, with Washington demanding a permanent halt, dismantlement of key facilities, and transfer of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iranian proposals have centered on temporary pauses in enrichment—potentially for up to 15 years—along with options for dilution or third-country transfer of material, while preserving civilian enrichment rights and rejecting facility closures. Recent indirect talks, including those brokered by Oman and extended ceasefires into May 2026, produced no firm commitments aligning with U.S. terms, and President Trump has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with Iranian counteroffers. IAEA verification demands and sanctions relief sequencing add further procedural hurdles, sustaining trader consensus that a binding agreement to end enrichment will not materialize by July 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-07-31
最新
最新
2026-07-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program remain stalled on core enrichment issues, with Washington demanding a permanent halt, dismantlement of key facilities, and transfer of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iranian proposals have centered on temporary pauses in enrichment—potentially for up to 15 years—along with options for dilution or third-country transfer of material, while preserving civilian enrichment rights and rejecting facility closures. Recent indirect talks, including those brokered by Oman and extended ceasefires into May 2026, produced no firm commitments aligning with U.S. terms, and President Trump has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with Iranian counteroffers. IAEA verification demands and sanctions relief sequencing add further procedural hurdles, sustaining trader consensus that a binding agreement to end enrichment will not materialize by July 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$7,628结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program remain stalled on core enrichment issues, with Washington demanding a permanent halt, dismantlement of key facilities, and transfer of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iranian proposals have centered on temporary pauses in enrichment—potentially for up to 15 years—along with options for dilution or third-country transfer of material, while preserving civilian enrichment rights and rejecting facility closures. Recent indirect talks, including those brokered by Oman and extended ceasefires into May 2026, produced no firm commitments aligning with U.S. terms, and President Trump has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with Iranian counteroffers. IAEA verification demands and sanctions relief sequencing add further procedural hurdles, sustaining trader consensus that a binding agreement to end enrichment will not materialize by July 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,628结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program remain stalled on core enrichment issues, with Washington demanding a permanent halt, dismantlement of key facilities, and transfer of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iranian proposals have centered on temporary pauses in enrichment—potentially for up to 15 years—along with options for dilution or third-country transfer of material, while preserving civilian enrichment rights and rejecting facility closures. Recent indirect talks, including those brokered by Oman and extended ceasefires into May 2026, produced no firm commitments aligning with U.S. terms, and President Trump has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with Iranian counteroffers. IAEA verification demands and sanctions relief sequencing add further procedural hurdles, sustaining trader consensus that a binding agreement to end enrichment will not materialize by July 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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