The market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during May 29–June 5 reflects its established pattern of infrequent updates, with activity typically limited to targeted statements on security, diplomacy, or official commemorations. Following the 2026 leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei amid regional tensions, the account has prioritized selective messaging over routine commentary, consistent with institutional practices during periods of consolidation. No major scheduled announcements, summits, or escalations fall within the resolution window that would likely increase volume, while historical base rates for the account show similar restraint outside acute crises. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily in assessing the narrow range of outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?
<5 75%
5-9 7%
35-39 3.1%
15-19 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-05
<5
75%
5-9
7%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
2%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 75%
5-9 7%
35-39 3.1%
15-19 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-05
<5
$773 交易量
75%
5-9
$137 交易量
7%
10-14
$293 交易量
2%
15-19
$59 交易量
2%
20-24
$60 交易量
1%
25-29
$102 交易量
<1%
30-34
$120 交易量
2%
35-39
$228 交易量
3%
40-44
$68 交易量
1%
45-49
$82 交易量
1%
50-54
$170 交易量
1%
55-59
$173 交易量
1%
60+
$188 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during May 29–June 5 reflects its established pattern of infrequent updates, with activity typically limited to targeted statements on security, diplomacy, or official commemorations. Following the 2026 leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei amid regional tensions, the account has prioritized selective messaging over routine commentary, consistent with institutional practices during periods of consolidation. No major scheduled announcements, summits, or escalations fall within the resolution window that would likely increase volume, while historical base rates for the account show similar restraint outside acute crises. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily in assessing the narrow range of outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$2,454结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during May 29–June 5 reflects its established pattern of infrequent updates, with activity typically limited to targeted statements on security, diplomacy, or official commemorations. Following the 2026 leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei amid regional tensions, the account has prioritized selective messaging over routine commentary, consistent with institutional practices during periods of consolidation. No major scheduled announcements, summits, or escalations fall within the resolution window that would likely increase volume, while historical base rates for the account show similar restraint outside acute crises. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily in assessing the narrow range of outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,454结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during May 29–June 5 reflects its established pattern of infrequent updates, with activity typically limited to targeted statements on security, diplomacy, or official commemorations. Following the 2026 leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei amid regional tensions, the account has prioritized selective messaging over routine commentary, consistent with institutional practices during periods of consolidation. No major scheduled announcements, summits, or escalations fall within the resolution window that would likely increase volume, while historical base rates for the account show similar restraint outside acute crises. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily in assessing the narrow range of outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题